JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 24

FEATURE “Automotive” The European automotive industry will use more and more composites According to a recent study by Mavel, the demand for composites in the European automotive industry is expected to grow by nearly 6% annually up to 2010. Many developments are under way. The following paper presents the methodology of the study and then discusses the changes in the European automotive market and some new composite developments for that market. JEAN-BRUNO MONTEIL, CONSULTANT, MAVEL he methodology used for a recent Mavel study was a combination of 1) a thorough knowledge of the state of the art in vehicle design, based on an in-depth analysis of the vehicles launched on the European market (the vehicles are taken apart at Mavel’s technical centre for analysis); 2) the identification and analysis of key change factors to enable a move towards new designs and the use of new materials; 3) automotive statistics and forecasts compiled in-house; 4) contact networking with the key players in the industry; and 5) the expertise of senior consultants. T launch of Korean transplants in Eastern Europe. Overall, sales of passenger cars from Europe to Russia are likely to increase by 700,000-800,000 units by 2010. European exports are currently in a slump but should develop over the coming years, as the new models produced in Eastern Europe correspond well to demand in emerging countries. Furthermore, the United States will soon increase its demand for European cars (growing demand for higher-end vehicles), as will China and India. Therefore, car sales from Europe to other regions will probably increase by 600,000-900,000 units by 2010. Given the new Japanese and Korean OEM plants in Eastern Europe, with a capacity of 800,000-1,000,000 units per year, it is clear that imports from Japan and Korea will drop considerably. The decrease will account for approximately 800,000 units per year in 2010.Thus, for light vehicles (passenger cars and light utility vehicles), Mavel’s Automotive Observatory expects a 2.5% annual production growth up to 2010. The European automotive market Quantitative evolution The market (i.e. sales in various countries) is very often confused with production. For Western and Eastern Europe combined, a total sales increase of 400,000-600,000 units is expected by 2010. The curve cumulates 3% over 5 years, or 0.5% per year, and is quasi-flat. However, the changing balance between exports and imports will support European production. As regards exports to Russia, the market has grown considerably in recent years (1.4 million units in 2005) and demand is turning increasingly towards non-Russian models (600,000 in 2005, including 300,000 imported from Europe). The Russian market is sure to grow further over the coming years (new purchase market), and the proportion of imports is also bound to increase (750,000 imports expected in 2006 and 1,200,000 in 2010). Among these, imports from Eastern Europe will grow, partially replacing those from Korea, following the Automotive production and sales in Europe. Qualitative evolution There is a strong trend towards style differentiation in European production. Key change factors include the new safety and JEC Composites Magazine / No34 July-August 2007

JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007

Editorial
Market Place
Advertisers & Index
Contents
NEWS WORLDWIDE
- Companies
- Agenda of events
- Innovations
BUSINESS
- Market survey
- Trends
- Niche markets
FEATURE - AUTOMOTIVE
- Trend
- Process
- Raw material
USERS’ PLATFORM
- Composites in the world
- Successful Partners
- Applications
KNOW-HOW
- Ecodesign
- Bonding
- Software
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 1
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 2
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - Editorial
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - Market Place
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - Advertisers & Index
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - Contents
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 7
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Companies
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 9
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Agenda of events
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 11
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Innovations
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 13
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 14
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - BUSINESS
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 16
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Market survey
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 18
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 19
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Trends
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 21
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Niche markets
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - FEATURE - AUTOMOTIVE
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Trend
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 25
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 26
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 27
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JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 31
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Process
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 33
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 34
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 35
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Raw material
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 37
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 38
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 39
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 40
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 41
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JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 43
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 44
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 45
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 46
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - USERS’ PLATFORM
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Composites in the world
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 49
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Successful Partners
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 51
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 52
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 53
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Applications
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 55
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 56
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - KNOW-HOW
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Ecodesign
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 59
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 60
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 61
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Bonding
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 63
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - - Software
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 65
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 66
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 67
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #34 - July/August 2007 - 68
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