JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 24

carbon

Fig. 1: Footprint evolution of Japanese companies between 2012 and 2015 for
small-tow PAN-based carbon fibre

(see Figure 2).
Consumption by the sports
and leisure market should
remain fairly stable at an estimated 8,000 MT in 2013 and
8,800 MT in 2015.
Due to the ramp-up of new
aerospace programmes that
use a lot of carbon fibre,
consumption by that flagship
sector is expected to go from
8,000 MT in 2013 to 10,200
MT in 2015.

MT in 2015.
While more than the lion’s
share goes to PAN-based
fibres, you also find pitchbased fibres in some markets,
like space, metrology, optics,
and other industrial needs.
Nominal production capacity
worldwide for pitch-based
fibres is expected to go from
1,580 MT in 2013 to 1,640

Most of the growth should
occur in industrial markets,
led by wind energy and
automotive. Industrial consumption is expected to soar
from 32,000 MT in 2013 to
50,350 MT in 2015 – another
impressive increase at 57.4%.
Besides wind energy and
automotive, there are also
compounds, pressure vessels,

MT in 2015 (see Table 4).
The actual production is
harder to estimate, since the
uses for these fibres are so
highly specialized.

Demand
Demand for carbon fibre is
expected to soar from 48,000
metric tons in 2013 to 69,350
MT in 2015 44.5% increase

Tab. 2: Global nameplate capacities (in metric tonnes) of «large tow» (Above 24K, 48K, 50K, 60K, 80K, 320K ) PANbased carbon fibre
«Large tow» Nameplate capacities (metric tonnes)

2012

2013

2014

2015

Panex

Zoltek Group

Brand name

13,200

17,000

21,000

26,000

Europe

8,200

9,000

9,000

10,000

USA & Mexico

5,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

China

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

7,500

9,000

9,000

9,000

Europe

4,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

Evanston, USA

2,000

2,000

2,000

2,000

Moses Lake, USA

1,500

3,000

3,000

3,000

3,700

3,700

3,700

3,700

China

3,200

3,200

3,200

3,200

UK

500

500

500

500

SGL Group

Sigrafil

Bluestar

Starafil

Kemrock, India

Jaitec

0

0

1,500

1,500

Mitsubishi Rayon, Japan

Pyrofil

700

2,700

2,700

2,700

Toray Group, Japan

Torayca

300

300

300

300

Total «large tow»

25,400

32,700

38,200

43,200

Output (coefficient 0.9)

22,860

29,430

34,380

38,880

24 jec composites magazine / No81 May - June 2013

and an abundance of applications for machine parts, civil
engineering & construction,
oil & gas, high-speed rotors
(e.g. flywheels, industrial
rollers, uranium enrichment),
electronics, chemical production and corrosion resistance,
precision mechanics, and
more. More and more manufacturers are becoming aware
of the advantages of composite materials, and the inherent
properties of carbon make it
a preferred material for high
performance.

Comparing offer
and demand
As usual when carbon fibre
offer and demand are compared, there appears to be a
regular overcapacity. To factor
that into statistics, some apply a 50% production output
coefficient. This corrective
factor could give an idea of
what really comes off the production lines, but it is not as
simple as all that. Producers
say this figure can vary a lot.
Even in 2006 when there was
a shortage, the raw data did
not reflect the reality, instead
indicating an overcapacity.
The reason it is difficult to
estimate the actual production lies in the sheer variety
of fibre types and the players’
competitive secrecy, which is
amplified in certain geopolitically strategic markets like
energy (nuclear power, wind
energy, oil & gas) and armament. A sign of the strategic
nature of carbon fibre is that
nations keep a close watch on
such exports. For example,
last year in the United States,
three people were indicted for
exporting without authorization, and risk heavy sentences
(up to 20 years in prison).



JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013

Cover
Edito
Point of view GKN Aerospace: Making wing without winging it
Contents
Agenda of Events
COMPANY & BUSINESS In Brief
APPLICATIONS
Truck
Corrosion
Wind
MARKET
Carbon
Recycling
Human ressources
SPECIAL JEC ASIA 2013
Participating companies
Conferences
Awards
Life achievement
Country guest of honour: Japan
Environment
RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT
3D fabric
Cost prediction
TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATIONS
Automotive
NDT
Carbon
Adhesives
Index
In the world
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Cover
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 2
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Edito
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Point of view GKN Aerospace: Making wing without winging it
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 5
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Contents
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 7
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 8
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 9
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Agenda of Events
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 11
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - COMPANY & BUSINESS In Brief
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 13
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 14
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 15
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Truck
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 17
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Corrosion
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Wind
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 20
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 21
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Carbon
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 23
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 24
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 25
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Recycling
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Human ressources
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 28
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 29
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Participating companies
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 31
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Conferences
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 33
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Awards
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 35
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 36
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 37
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 38
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Life achievement
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Country guest of honour: Japan
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 41
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 42
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 43
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 44
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 45
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 46
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 47
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 48
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 49
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 50
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 51
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Environment
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 53
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 3D fabric
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 55
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 56
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 57
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 58
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 59
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Cost prediction
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 61
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 62
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 63
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Automotive
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 65
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 66
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 67
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 68
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 69
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - NDT
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 71
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 72
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 73
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 74
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 75
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 76
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Carbon
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 78
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 79
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Adhesives
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - Index
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - In the world
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 83
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #81 - May/June 2013 - 84
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