JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 18

BUSINESS Carbon Fibre Carbon fibre: sustained increase in production capacities Carbon fibre manufacturers are continuing to invest in connection with strong demand and the rise in carbon fibre sale prices. The shortage felt in 2005 is still a reality for some grades (3K, 6K) but, globally speaking, the supply and the demand are getting back to normal. T his article focuses on the carbon fibre production capacities available for the next two years (2008-2010), taking into account that some investments have been officially announced while others remain to be finalised. This year, carbon fibre suppliers were reluctant to give projections beyond 2010 as investment strategies are critical for them. Worldwide market Based on the Soficar article published in the JEC Composites Magazine no.37 in December 2007, we were able to estimate the market demand for 2008, 2010 and 2012 assuming that carbon producers would be able to supply enough fibre to avoid penalising the business. Globally, the demand will be multiplied by 1.35 between 2008 (38,900 tonnes) and 2012 (52,300 tonnes), with an average growth of 16% per year (figure 1). boost the development of carbon fibres but is now losing its relative importance, with 16% expected for 2012 and growth remaining moderate at around 5% per year. Applications in aeronautics are going up and should reach 22% by 2012, with growth at around 20% per year linked to strong Airbus and Boeing programmes. Industrial applications have obviously developed the most in the past five years, and are likely to grow even more in the years to come. In 2012, this segment should be close to the 63% mark, with an annual growth of 15-18%. Such strong growth is probably due to the large number of highly promising projects in sectors like wind energy, rollers, pressure vessels, surface transportation, civil engineering, marine, and oil exploitation to name just the main ones. Chopped fibres used in compounds (mostly thermoplastics) account for a significant level of consumption (5,000-7,000 tonnes). Small/regular tow Counting a 19,000-tonne increase in capacity between 2008 and 2010, the nameplate capacity for 2010 will amount to 69,500 tonnes. Increases of 4,000 tonnes in 2010 have already been announced. Toray has an ambitious investment programme. With a 33% share, Toray is positioned as a leader and should even reinforce its position. Toho Tenax holds a 20% share, with production facilities in Japan, Europe and the USA. The three Japanese groups account for 67% of the global small tow production, whereas the two American groups account for 16%, and the Taiwanese group for 12%. All of these groups produce their own PAN precursor, which guarantees them quality, continuity, and production-cost control. Two new carbon suppliers attended the JEC Show 2008: Dalian Xingke Carbon Fiber Co, Ltd (China) and AKSA (Turkey). Worldwide capacity All figures expressed in tonnes correspond to the dry fibre (excluding resin). Preox fibres are excluded from this study. Two terms are used to express carbon fibre production capacities. One is “nameplate capacity”, which corresponds to the unit maximum theoretical capacity; the other is “output” or “mix load” capacity, which corresponds to the real capacity to produce a full range of yarns (1K, 3K, 6K, 12K, etc.) with a 100% activity rate. The latter figure is the most important when it comes to calculating supply and demand (table 1). 3K and 6K versus 12K 3K and 6K yarns are commonly used. They are also aerospace-grade, and Airbus and Boeing are utilising them increasingly more often (build rate effect). For technical reasons however, it has not been possible to replace them completely with 12K yarns. This had led carbon producers to reorganise their production through specialisation of production lines and to reinvest for this type of yarn. Fig. 1: Worlwide market by applications In 2012, Europe will account for 32% of global consumption, North America for 32%, Asia for 22%, and Japan for 14%. These figures could change rapidly with the growing relocation of composite production. The change in worldwide consumption is clear: the sports & leisure sector used to Large tow (above 24K) The Toho Tenax Group has converted its 80K heavy-tow production (previously JEC Composites Magazine / No41 June 2008

JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008

Cover
Edito
Contents
Companies | Owens Corning & Vetrotex: situation after the acquisition
Sale of Owens Corning plants in Belgium and Norway
Capacity expansion in Texas for Owens Corning
Gurit’s results and future prospects
New LM Glasfiber factory in Poland
Hexcel opens first carbon fibre plant in Spain
Teijin invests in carbon and aramid fibre
Agenda of events
JEC Show Paris 2008 report
Carbon fibre: sustained increase in production capacities
Market survey: Asia Technology-linked business opportunities for composites in India
Mechemco: a strategy that is paying off
Permali Wallace: sustained development
LESCO Technology: riding the environmental wave
Niche market All-carbon micro-aerial vehicle
Human Capital Accomplishing the project objectives
Market | A fast-changing market
Development | Compressing composite part development cycle and improving quality
Simulation | An industrial solution to analyse delamination
Micromechanics of failure: a new approach to modelling composite failure and life
An end-to-end simulation solution for autoclave manufacturing
Process | Fully automated RTM production line
Manufacturing | SLCA: expert in composite aerostructures
There’s a fine line between marine and aeronautics!
Opinion | The fear of change: some thoughts on aeronautical construction
USERS’ PLATFORM KNOW-HOW | Composites in the world Bamboo bike
Between car and motorbike
Bird man over the Alps
Applications | CFRP shafts and axles
High-performance COPV systems for large satellite platforms
Pressure bulkhead of the Boeing 787
Landing gear hubcaps for the Boeing 777
An out-of-autoclave composite solution
Control | Visiovis: monitoring nanofiller dispersion/distribution in molten polymers
Design | Non-thermal anti-icing/de-icing system for rotor blade leading edges
Special : JEC Composite Asia
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Cover
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 2
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Edito
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 4
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Contents
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 6
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 7
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Sale of Owens Corning plants in Belgium and Norway
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Teijin invests in carbon and aramid fibre
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 10
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 11
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Agenda of events
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 13
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - JEC Show Paris 2008 report
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 15
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 16
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 17
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Carbon fibre: sustained increase in production capacities
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 19
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Market survey: Asia Technology-linked business opportunities for composites in India
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 21
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Mechemco: a strategy that is paying off
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 23
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 24
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Permali Wallace: sustained development
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 26
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - LESCO Technology: riding the environmental wave
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 28
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Niche market All-carbon micro-aerial vehicle
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 30
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 31
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Human Capital Accomplishing the project objectives
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 33
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Market | A fast-changing market
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 35
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Development | Compressing composite part development cycle and improving quality
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 37
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 38
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Simulation | An industrial solution to analyse delamination
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 40
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 41
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Micromechanics of failure: a new approach to modelling composite failure and life
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 43
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - An end-to-end simulation solution for autoclave manufacturing
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 45
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 46
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Process | Fully automated RTM production line
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 48
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 49
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Manufacturing | SLCA: expert in composite aerostructures
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 51
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 52
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 53
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - There’s a fine line between marine and aeronautics!
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Opinion | The fear of change: some thoughts on aeronautical construction
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 56
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 57
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Between car and motorbike
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Bird man over the Alps
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - High-performance COPV systems for large satellite platforms
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Landing gear hubcaps for the Boeing 777
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 62
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 63
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - An out-of-autoclave composite solution
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 65
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 66
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Control | Visiovis: monitoring nanofiller dispersion/distribution in molten polymers
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 68
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 69
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 70
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 71
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Design | Non-thermal anti-icing/de-icing system for rotor blade leading edges
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 73
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 74
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - Special : JEC Composite Asia
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - II
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - III
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - IV
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - V
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - VI
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - VII
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - VIII
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 83
JEC COMPOSITES MAGAZINE - Issue #41 - June 2008 - 84
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